Recall I keep repeating that the Middle East is a snake pit. A venomous snake pit. The Arabs and the ayatollahs will sell each other out at the drop of a hat. Or at the drop of a turban. Meaning without any hesitation. They can sell each other out instantly. To save their own backsides.
Well it is happening again. The Hezbollah has sent a clear message via video (see below) that they want a ceasefire in Lebanon. What they did not do (which is creating the earthquakes) is mention anything about the Hamas in Gaza. They are abandoning Hamas.
On October 8 last year the Hezbollah began shooting rockets into Israel (they have shot over 8,000 rockets so far) because they said they wanted to show solidarity with Hamas. Recall that on October 8th last year the Israelis had not yet begun any ground incursion into Gaza. Full scale operations against Hamas began on 27 October, 2023 - which was 20 days after the Hamas attack against Israel. This means on Oct 8th, the Hezbollah began shooting rockets into Israel unilaterally without prior provocation.
First here is that Naim Qassim fellow, the "Deputy Leader" of Hezbollah who does not want to be appointed the new "leader" of Hezbollah. Why? Because after Hassan Nasrallah was killed, his successor Hashem Safieddine was killed and then Hashim's successor was also killed (all within a few days). So no one wants to be the "official" leader of Hezbollah anymore. The position remains 'vacant'.
Anyway he says point blank that he wants a ceasefire.Ini bukan saya cakap tau.
Ini kepala balut yang cakap.
The ayatollahs in Iran are beginning to panic.
1. If the ayatollahs in Iran had condoned this double dealing between Hezbollah and Israel, the Israelis will extract their pound of flesh from the ayatollahs. After circumcising the ayatollahs a second time as well. This is a serious embarrassment for the ayatollahs. This will be serious 'eat crow' time for the ayatollahs.
2. If the ayatollahs DID NOT CONDONE this Hezbollah double dealing with Israel it means the Hezbollah are not listening to the ayatollahs anymore. Lebanon has broken free of the ayatollahs. Which is exactly what Israeli PM Netanyahu said yesterday in an open message to the people of Lebanon - that they should break free of the ayatollahs in Iran. This is a serious embarrassment for the ayatollahs. This will be serious 'eat crow' time for the ayatollahs.
- This will completely destroy any trust that existed between the Muslim Brotherhood / Hamas and the Hezbollah.
- This will completely destroy any trust that existed between the Muslim Brotherhood / Hamas and the ayatollahs in Iran.
- This can destroy any trust that existed between the Hezbollah and the ayatollahs in Iran.
- This will destroy Hezbollah's 'unchallenged position' in Lebanon.
4. That turban fellow in the video above (Naim Qassem) could pay with his life for breaking the "omerta" (the Mafia code of silence) and reaching out to the Israelis so brazenly.
- The Muslim Brotherhood / Hamas will want to kill him.
- The ayatollahs may want to kill him.
- Other Hezbollah who disagree may want to kill him.
- I think his days are numbered.