Snap Polls in Malaysia? There is the "Iranian ballistic missiles" question.

DAP holding special congress on July 12,  delegates will vote whether party leaders should resign all govt positions ministerial posts, state EXCO roles, and positions in GLCs 

The following is adapted and edited from CNA here:    https://www.channelnewsasia.com/asia/graft-crisis-pkr-party-fractures-ph-coalition-jitters-5976646

I have some comments after this:

• snap poll rumbles grow, internal strife, widening anti-graft controversy​
• multiple challenges may force early elections
• nearly two years ahead of Feb 2028 deadline
• secret meeting between UMNO and opposition
• long-time ally DAP rethinking their ties
• allegations besieging MACC chief

• developments occurring almost concurrently 
• now pose most serious threat to tenure 
• pressure on PH coalition may force early elections
• nearly two years ahead of Feb 2028 deadline
• pressure building, perfect storm brewing

• Of particular concern little-known meeting in Bangkok in mid-Dec
• between leaders from UMNO, Bersatu, PAS sources told CNA
• UMNO president attended with party sec-gen 
• Bersatu represented by Hamzah Zainudin
• PAS by secretary-general Takiyuddin Hassan
• 'PH' not informed of Bangkok meeting
• according to anonymous sources in admin
• only acknowledged after confronted by Saifuddin Nasution 
• who had been alerted by Thai intelligence, sources told CNA.
• "there are trust issues with UMNO now."

PRESSURE MOUNTS FOR EARLY POLLS

• pressure building within DAP to hold 16th GE together with three state polls 
• next GE scheduled by Feb 17, 2028
• Early GE near certainty. 
• Sabah/S'wak want it, and so does DAP
• DAP's wipeout 8 seats in Sabah exposed Chinese disenchantment  
• loss of DAP credibility forcing reckoning, DAP leaders acknowledge
• DAP now sees PKR as weak ally 
• Many leaders want to leave PH and go solo said DAP's Ronnie Liu
• DAP party leadership faces heavy pressure from disenchanted "Chinese" 
• pressure prompted Anthony Loke to demand to align federal & state polls
• and whether to maintain the current PH coalition framework.
• whether we want to continue cooperation model for next GE Loke said

DAP holding special congress on Jul 12,  delegates will vote whether party leaders should resign all govt positions ministerial posts, state EXCO roles, and positions in GLCs

• MACC WOES
• also facing pressure from widespread misconduct at MACC
• casting doubt on tackling graft
• key issue is scandal engulfing the chief 
• allegations, slow progress of reforms, pushed DAP to rethink ties
• DAP called for MACC chief immediate replacement and RCI 
• DAP officials now thinking to advance July congress if RCI rejected 
• party to evaluate position in coalitions when time comes for elections

• PKR FACTIONAL WAR
• deepening fissures in PKR.
• Rafizi Ramli leads growing faction of dissenters
• Rafizi resigned from Cabinet 
• claims MACC has been weaponised 
• His open criticism has further split PKR
• Rafizi's faction includes eight MPs (out of 31 PKR MPs) 
• delicate political arithmetic holding coalition together 

• PH holds 79 seats in 222-member Parliament
• 33 seats away from simple majority
• relies on UMNO, Sabah, Sarawak coalitions to govern
• This is why Bangkok meeting potential challenge, said insiders
• Bersatu had 19 seats
• PAS holds 43 parliamentary seats, UMNO 26. 
• Together, would command 88 MPs - larger than PH
• Whether Sabah and Sarawak switch sides remains unclear

BREATHING SPACE, FOR NOW

• early polls remain very real prospect, analysts said
• Parliament will automatically dissolve on Dec 19 2027 
• Melaka, Swak', Johor polls in Dec 2026, Feb 2027, April 2027 respectively.
• widespread speculation UMNO in Melaka, Johor suspend assemblies in Sept
• stable economy, strengthening currency, buoyant stock market 
• EPF 6.15 % dividend for 2025, paying RM79.6 b to contributors.
• we will have hung Parliament 
• current report card for PH very weak 
• failure to deliver on election promises
• Coalition partners threatening to leave 

My Comments:

The easy ones first. 

Sabah and Swak will not switch to a coalition with PAS. If Abang Johari does that the Dayak Christian majority in Sarawak will revolt. Abang Johari will lose the Dayak vote. 

The only way around this problem is if Pas can learn to speak Dayak. That is not going to happen anytime soon.

Secret meeting between UMNO and opposition in Bangkok.   Here is an AI generated picture. What do you think? 

There are only two things that are relevant in this article by CNA.

Point No. 1 - The DAP is going to get their butts kicked out by the Chinese voters. Sabah 8-0 is going to be repeated on a grand scale. 

Economy improving, stock market moving, EPF over 6% dividend does not mean a thing outside the Klang Valley. The bulk of the country's voters are in Johor, Perak, Sabah, Swak, Kedah etc- outside the Klang Valley. 

Go and ask them how are they going to vote. 

Read this article again. It is disaster news for the ruling jokers. 

In 2022 they won only 79 Parliamentary seats - 33 seats far away from a simple majority.  In 2022 the DAP won 40 seats, the PKR 31 won seats. Does anyone seriously believe that in the next GE the DAP can retain all those 40 seats? Or that PKR can retain all those 31 seats?  That is not going to happen. 

Lets say between the DAP and PKR they lose just 10 seats - that means they can only secure 69 Parliamentary seats in total. That means they will be 43 seats further away from a simple majority (of 112 Parliamentary seats). 

I dont think they are going to form the next gomen.

Then there is the "Iranian ballistic missiles" question. Meaning it is very explosive. Where exactly is that fellow going to run? Which Parliamentary seat? The ginger farmers will kick him out. There are no more safe seats.

Is Theresa Kok going to give up her seat? Even if she does, there is no guarantee the Chinese voters will not kick him out.  The daughter's political future is also over. There is no seat where she can win.  So how?

So you can talk, talk, talk. You can bla, bla, bla.   Then suddenly kaboom - the fellow loses his seat. Malu lah. It is not an impossibility. So the DAP better think carefully. Your ayam is not going to make it.

Point No 2 - the fate of the ordinary Malaysian is not improving much. They still have not asked me, 'Mr Syed Akbar what can we do for you?'.

None of the political parties seem to care about the fate of the ordinary Malaysian. Today I got RM150 deposited in my bank account by the gomen. Thank you for giving me back some of my money. That is taxpayer's money. My money. 

Then I got another RM400 in my 'Sara' account for buying groceries. Again thank you for giving me back some of my money. Taxpayer's money.

But how far can that go? And how does that help the gomen's huge debt deficit? The more free money you dish out the higher will be the gomen debt.

What does this mean? It means the more time passes, the situation is going to get worse for the ruling coalition. The standard of living and the quality of life of the ordinary people are not improving that much. The longer you wait the higher the risk.

Then there are other unexpected  "Iranian ballistic missiles" that can explode from out of nowhere. Who knows what other corruption scandals are going to pop up. Who knows what Rafizi or Chegubard may expose over the next few weeks or months. Or what Bloomberg, CNA or the Wall Street Journal might suddenly expose. 

So time is not on their side. 

Time is their enemy. 

The more time passes the higher the risk for them.

And the DAP must remember this - if you hang on to a sinking boat - it means you will be pulled down also.

HAMAS KICKED OUT OF QATAR. GUESS WHERE THEY ARE COMING TO?

Two days ago it was reported in the Middle East media that Qatar is kicking out the Hamas leaders and other Hamas members who have been living there for at least 15 years or longer. 

• Qatar instructed Hamas to leave its territory
• following Hamas failure to denounce Iranian strikes on Gulf countries 
• significant shift in Qatar which hosted Hamas since 2012 
• expulsion leaves Hamas with few alternative safe havens
• Turkey unlikely to welcome them 

This also means that Muslim Brotherhood members (who are exactly the same as Hamas) will also be asked to leave Qatar. Erdogan in Turkey, the other traditional supporter of the Muslim Brotherhood, does not want the Hamas fellows to come to Turkey either. Europe is also a no go. 

So where will the Hamas fellows go? Anybody wants to make a wild ass guess?  

SRI LANKA ADA AKAL

 

Sri Lanka pun sudah ada akal:

Bantuan RM250, RM500:

civil servants Grade 15 including those on contract will receive RM500
pensioners and veterans will receive RM250 
“This assistance is also exempt from income tax”
RM500 to 70,000 imams, bilal, siak, marbut, KAFA, takmir teachers

You get some ANG POW. I keep the big money.  
Gambar hiasan saja. AI generated.
Dont get too teruja

My Comments: We should be thankful to the Chinese, Indians and Malays who work hard, generate wealth, earn money and profits from which they contribute tax revenue to the gomen. Then the above scene is made possible.

GENERAL ISMAIL KAHANI, COMMANDER OF THE ISLAMIC REVOLUTIONAR GUARDS CORP (IRGC) WAS A MOSSAD AGENT

 

Here is an interesting nine minute video:

What is good for America is good for the world.

 

Here are some charts showing the Dow Jones over the past year (above). Since President Donald Trump took office last year 21st January 2025 the Dow Jones has gone from around 42,000 (March 6, 2025) to today's 48,000 (Mar 6, 2026). That is about a 14% hike in ONE YEAR.

Mr Trump says over US$18 TRILLION worth of investments has flowed into the American economy just over this past year. Folks, believe me these numbers are huge. If you are a global investor America is the place you want to invest your money. 

But below here is the FIVE year chart for the Dow Jones. That red arrow inside the red circle is YTD March 6th 2025 to 2026. You can see the slope of that curve is really climbing. The trend actually began in 2024 (Donald Trump had already begun campaigning for the Nov 2024 elections, which he won).

Lets say this momentum keeps up (its already March) then we can see another 14%-15% hike in the Dow Jones by year end. Say a 55,000 Dow by end 2026.

Below here is the S&P 500.  You can see the S&P 500 has done better than the Dow Jones. It has gained about 35% over the past 12 months. The S&P 500 covers the entire US economy but it is tech heavy. Tech stocks make up over 30% of the S&P. But most large businesses in the US are tech heavy.  

In brief the USA is a BUY. Lets hope it keeps going up. What is good for America is good for the world.

FRIDAY LITE: FEVER

 

US Sub Torpedoes Iran Frigate In Indian Ocean

Two days ago (Wednesday?) a US Navy submarine torpedoed and sank the 1,500 ton Iranian Navy frigate 'Dena' in the Indian Ocean, 40 nautical miles south of Sri Lanka. This was the first time since World War II that a US submarine had sunk a ship using torpedoes.

The Iranian ship was sailing home after attending a Fleet Review in the Indian port of Vishakapattinam. A  US nuclear attack submarine found the Dena and sank it with a single Mark 48 heavy torpedo. Here is a 30 second video and another brief video explaining US naval action against Iran.

You can see in the video that when that torpedo hit, it raised the ship out of the water and completely broke off the stern (back) of the frigate.

More than 20 ships (some reports say the toll now is 76 vessels) of the Iranian Navy have been destroyed and sunk since the hostilities began on 28 February 2026. 

What is to be noted is that these are 'one shot one kill' actions. That jet fighter being able to precisely destroy a moving ship using a gravity bomb (laser guided) dropped from the air and the submarine firing just one torpedo to sink one ship shows the devastating accuracy of modern warfare. 

For comparison here is a clip from the World War 2 naval action movie Greyhound. Multiple shots, multiple torpedoes and keeping fingers crossed that they strike targets.

Fleet Review 

GUT SHOT PODCAST: THE HAZARDS OF BEING A POLITICIAN POST 2018

Errata : Somewhere in this video the highway I mention should actually be the Éast West Highway near Grik in Perak. My apologies for my slip of the tongue.

Here is Episode 54 of the Gut Shot podcast where Shamsul and I talk about the hazards of being a local politician.

THE END OF THE AYATOLLAHS, THE END OF THEIR SHIA RELIGION AND THE RISE OF IRAN

 

Here is a must watch 21 minute video on the Iran bungle by Tom Nash. I have uploaded his podcasts a few times before. Tom Nash's analysis about the entire Ayatollah and Middle East situation is spot on.

Within a few days of the Hamas attack of October 7th 2023 Tom Nash made a very accurate prediction that after Hamas was defeated the Gaza Strip would be "cantonised" - broken up into smaller cantons. Each canton will then be administered (through local government) by different Arab families who are well known in their areas (the Arab clan system).

I only got the 'cantonisation' of Gaza correct but not as a post-hostilities solution.  I had no inkling of the administration by clans idea. Apparently there is some history to this method in the Middle East. (Like the Kapitan Kling and Kapitan China system).

Here is Tom Nash's comprehensive but concise brief of what has happened and what will happen in the Middle East. My comments follow.

My comments:

There is an unbelievable over concentration of foolish and stupid behaviour throughout the Middle East.  From Pakistan to Morocco they are just unable to modernise their thinking. Even when they migrate to the super modern West the people from these parts of the world dress like villagers and goat herders. Not only do they dress the part but they also play the part.

In Iran the ineptitude of the ayatollahs have also seriously damaged the Shia religion. Discussion (on Social Media by Iranians) treats the Shia religion as an absurdity. They call it the 'Islamic colonization' and 'Islamic occupation' of Iran.  Meaning they do not see the Shia religion as part of their lives at all. 

And they still believe in superstition, hocus pocus and magical nights that can change their fates. They also believe in animals that can talk like humans and flying quadrupeds. The psychologists will have more concise words to describe these conditions.  

• The ayatollahs push the idea that Imam Mahdi is the hidden 12th Imam who will return to establish global justice. (They believe he lives somewhere in occultation inside a cave).
• Iran’s clerical establishment teaches that he is alive but in occultation.
• The doctrine of Wilayat al-Faqih holds that a senior jurist (the ayatollah Supreme Leader) rules on his behalf until his return.
• This provides theological legitimacy for the Ayatollah's political authority.
• Leaders portray obedience to the ayatollah Supreme Leader as indirectly tied to loyalty to the Imam Mahdi.
• Mahdist rhetoric can frame regional interventions (in other countries) as “preparing the ground” for his return.
• It reinforces revolutionary identity and resistance ideology domestically and abroad.

In a nutshell that is what the ayatollahs have been selling. The ultimate end of this type of ineptitude is what is happening to the ayatollahs in Iran today.

Since the very first minutes of this round of annihilation which began five days ago on February 28th, 2026 the Israelis and the Americans have been able to fly in and out of Iran without suffering even a scratch from the ayatollahs. 

(Three American soldiers died in Kuwait as a result of shrapnel wounds. So far that is about it. The Americans shot down three of their own F15s through mistaken friendly fire. The Americans do that from time to time).

But other than that the Americans and Israelis have complete dominance over Iranian airspace. The past two days the Americans have sunk all 11 major vessels of the Iranian navy - including old container ships and oil tankers converted into super slow moving helicopter carriers. They were all sunk over the past 48 hours. 

Now they are discussing the real possibility of putting boots on the ground. This could happen through an unconditional surrender by the ayatollah regime which is not impossible. Maybe yes maybe no but it reflects the confidence of the Americans and the crumbling ayatollah hold on Iran.

The Israelis have been studying the entire ayatollah landscape in Iran with electron microscopes.  Minus democratic processes, minus free thinking and minus open discussion, the entire intellectual leadership of Iran was dependent on what was inside the ayatollah's turban. And as we all know there is only empty space inside any turban.

Hence the Israeli decapitation strikes. Once the heads are removed the entire ayatollah chain of command has collapsed. This is exactly what the Israelis have achieved. The regime in Iran is now running around like headless chickens. 

This condition is not unique to Iran. There are many other Third World societies that suffer this exact same foolishness. They are very weak in social institutions. (Women are considered a problem). They are very weak in respect for law and order, they are weak in administrative institutions. They are over dependent on the aptitude (or lack thereof) of one leader or the regime. They are stuck in the Stone Age. It is so easy to defeat these types of backward societies. 

There is hope for Iran. In a post-ayatollah Iran the ordinary people of Iran have a great capacity to rise and shine. A great future awaits them. I hope things work out for them.